EXPECTED DA RISE FROM JULY-2014 FOR CENTRAL GOVT. EMPLOYEES : SITUATION AFTER DECLARATION OF AICPIN FOR MAY 2014

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The AICPIN  for the month of MAY 2014 is declared by central government of India . There is increase by TWO points in AICPIN and pegged at 244 points Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-7-2014 i.e. July 2014 is further reviewed with the help of following cases:

CASE-I:  There is no change in AICPIN for the month of JUNE 2014.  

         Let us assume that for June 2014, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 244 points for June 204.  In this case, the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-II:  The AICPIN increases by one point to 12 poins  for the month of   JUNE 2014.  

 In this case, the DA rise would remain at 7% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-III:  The AICPIN increases by Thitreen (13) points the month of JUNE 2014. (which is more unlikely)  

 In this case, the DA rise would be8% w.e.f. 1-7-2014. But practically, this much steep rise in AICPIN in a single month is most unlikely.

CASE-IV:  The AICPIN declines  by ONE point for the month of JUNE 2014.  

In this case, the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-V:  The AICPIN declines  by TWO points  for the month of JUNE 2014 .  

 In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CONCLUSION:  By analysing above different situations, we can conclude that minimum DA rise may be 6% and maximum 7% w.e.f. July 2014. The maximum possibility is 7% rise. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TO REACH 8% RISE.  The final position would be intimated after declaration of AICPIN for the month ofJune 2014, . However  from present scenerio, 7% DA rise is most likely w.e.f. July 2014.