Saturday 30 August 2014

EXPECTED DA RISE FROM JANUARY 2015 (1-1-2015) FOR CENTRAL GOVT. EMPLOYEES

        
FOR LATEST UPDATE, PLEASE CLICK THE FOLLOWING LINK
http://globalemployeesforum.blogspot.in/2014/11/expected-da-rise-from-january-2015-1-1.html 


  AICPIN for JULY  2014 is declared on 30-8-2014 which increases by 6 points and  pegged at 252 points.Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-1-2015 has been carried out with the help of  following cases:

CASE-I:  There is no change in AICPIN for next 5 months : 

         Let us assume that for next 5 months i.e. August 2014 to December 2014, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 252 points for all these months. The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that, the DA rise would be 5% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.



CASE-II:  The AICPIN increases by one point every month for next 5 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-III:  The AICPIN increases by TWO points every month for next 5 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 8% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-IV:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by TWO points  and ONE point every month for next 5 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.



CASE-V:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by ONE points  and TWO points every month for next 5 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-VI:  The AICPIN increases  by ONE,TWO AND THREE  points  respectively  for FIRST 3 MONTHS and again by ONE AND TWO  points  respectively for NEXT 2 MONTHS:

Let AICPIN increases to 253 points for August 2014 and 255 points for September 2014, 258 points for October 2014, 259 points for November 2014 and 261 points for December 2014.
The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-VII:  The AICPIN increases by THREE points every month for next 5 months::

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 9% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CONCLUSION:  By analysing above different situations, we can conclude that minimum DA rise may be 5% and maximum 9% w.e.f. JANUARY 2015.  However effect of  decline in AICPIN is not considered at this stage.We will discuss the same also whenever such situation arises.

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