**Now that 6% D.A. rise is ESTABLISHED for Central Govt.employees w.e.f. 1-1-2015 after declaration of All India Consumers price index AICPIN for December 2014, the estimation for rise in D.A. w.e.f. 1-7-2015 is a topic of hot discussion.**

Presently, AICPIN for December 2014 is declare which remained stationary at 253 points.Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-7-2015 has become a complex exercise. For this purpose, we would consider folowing cases:

Presently, AICPIN for December 2014 is declare which remained stationary at 253 points.Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-7-2015 has become a complex exercise. For this purpose, we would consider folowing cases:

### CASE-I: There is no change in AICPIN for next 6 months :

Let us assume that for next 6 months i.e. January 2015 to June 2015, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 253 points for all these months. The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that, the**DA rise would be 5%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.

### CASE-II: The AICPIN increases by one point every month for next 6 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 7%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.### CASE-III: The AICPIN increases by TWO points every month for next 6 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 8%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.### CASE-IV: The AICPIN increases alternatively by TWO points and ONE point every month for next 6 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 7%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.### CASE-V: The AICPIN increases alternatively by ONE points and TWO points every month for next 6 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 7%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.### CASE-VI: The AICPIN increases by ONE,TWO AND THREE points respectively for FIRST 3 MONTHS and again by ONE,TWO AND THREE points respectively for NEXT 3 MONTHS:

Let AICPIN increases to 254 points forJanuary 2015, 256 points for Februaryt 2015 and 259 points for March 2015. Then AICPIN rises to 260 points for April 2015, 262 points for May 2015 and 265 points for June 2015.

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 8%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.### CASE-VII: The AICPIN increases by THREE points every month for next 6 months::

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the

**DA rise would be 10%**w.e.f. 1-7-2015.
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