Sunday 30 November 2014

EXPECTED DA RISE FROM JANUARY 2015 (1-1-2015) FOR CENTRAL GOVT. EMPLOYEES : Situation after declaration of AICPIN for October 2014.

AICPIN for OCTOBER  2014 is declared on 28-11-2014 which remained stationary at 253 points.Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-1-2015 has been carried out with the help of  following cases:


CASE-I:  There is no change in AICPIN for next 3 months : 

         Let us assume that for next 2 months i.e. November 2014 to December 2014, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 253 points for all these months. The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-II:  The AICPIN increases by ONE point every month for next 2 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-III:  The AICPIN increases by TWO points every month for next 2 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-IV:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by TWO points and ONE point    every month for next 2 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-V:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by ONE point and TWO points  every month for next 2 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-VI:  The AICPIN increases  by  TWO AND THREE  points  respectively  for 2 MONTHS :

Let AICPIN increases to 255 points for November 2014 and 258 points for December 2014 .
The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-VII:  The AICPIN increases by THREE points every month for next 2 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-VIII:  The AICPINDEcreases by ONE point every month for next 2 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-IX:  The AICPINDEcreases by TWO points every month for next 2 months:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 5% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CONCLUSION:  By analysing above different situations, we can conclude that minimum DA rise may be 5% and maximum 6% w.e.f. JANUARY 2015.   MORE LIKELY RISE IN DA IS EXPECTED AS 6%

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