EXPECTED DA RISE FROM JULY-2014 FOR CENTRAL GOVT. EMPLOYEES : SITUATION AFTER DECLARATION OF AICPIN FOR MARCH 2014

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 The AICPIN  for the month of March 2014 is declared by central government on 30-4-2014 . There is increase by one point in AICPIN and pegged at 239 points Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-7-2014 i.e. July 2014 is further reviewed with the help of following cases:

CASE-I:  There is no change in AICPIN for balance 3  months . 

         Let us assume that for balance 3 months i.e. April, May & June 2014, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 239 points for all these months. The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-II:  The AICPIN increases by one point every month for balance 3 months:  

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-III:  The AICPIN increases by TWO points every month for balance 3 months:  

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 7% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-IV:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by TWO points  , ONE point and TWO points  every month for balance 3 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-V:  The AICPIN increases alternatively by ONE point , TWO points  and ONE point every month for balance 3 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-VI:  The AICPIN increases  by ONE,TWO and THREE points  respectively  for balance 3 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-VII:  The AICPIN declines  by ONE point every month for balance 3 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 5% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CASE-VIII:  The AICPIN declines  by TWO points every month for balance 3 months: 

The calculation of DA rise in this case is shown below. In this case, the DA rise would be 5% w.e.f. 1-7-2014.

CONCLUSION:  By analysing above different situations, we can conclude that minimum DA rise may be 5% and maximum 7% w.e.f. July 2014. The maximum possibility is 6% rise.For any change in  sceniaro after declaration of AICPIN for the month of April 2014, we will discuss the same also whenever such situation arises.